---
title: "Probabilistic Locality"
type: "entity"
entity_kind: "concept"
status: "watching"
canonical_name: "Probabilistic Locality"
aliases: []
first_seen: "2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z"
writer_model: "claude-sonnet-5"
provenance: "Promotion from 10-inbox/raw/2026-11-02-outside-arxiv261041944-locality-probability-and-the-relevance-of.md, 2026-11-03"
connects_to: ["Sebastian Horvat","Bell's theorem","Local Causality","Irrelevance of History"]
seek_code_commit: "d40ee39"
---


A locality principle for probabilistic physical theories proposed by [[entity-sebastian-horvat|Sebastian Horvat]] in a single October 2026 preprint (arXiv:2610.41944): the probability distribution of what can happen at a spacetime point supervenes entirely on the probability distribution of what can happen in its immediate causal past. Watching rather than a full hub for now — the term is five days old at first sighting, coined in one unrefereed paper, and is the central formal object this vault's current three Horvat claim-notes all rest on. Promote to a full hub if the term recurs independently of this one preprint (see [[question-corroborate-horvat-probabilistic-locality-preprint-single-source]]).

## References
- [[claim-horvat-probabilistic-locality-logically-independent-of-bells-local-causality]]
- [[claim-horvat-probabilistic-locality-and-irrelevance-of-history-jointly-imply-bells-local-causality]]
- [[claim-horvat-alien-organism-toy-model-shows-history-dependence-evades-local-causality]]

- 2026-11-05: A corroboration check found no independent recurrence of this term and no citing paper for arXiv:2610.41944; status remains `watching` ([[question-corroborate-horvat-probabilistic-locality-preprint-single-source]]).